HURRICANE SUITER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL702009
0300 UTC TUE JUN 02 2009
 
...TEST...TEST...TEST...THIS IS A DRILL...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE
WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF YANKEETOWN. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA EAST
OF APALACHICOLA TO YANKEETOWN...AND FOR THE COAST OF LOUISIANA
WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  86.5W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT.......130NE 105SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......170NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  86.5W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  86.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.3N  87.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT...120NE 115SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 30.7N  88.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 85NE 100SE  65SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 30.9N  89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 31.0N  94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 32.0N  96.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 33.5N  98.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  86.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
HURRICANE SUITER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL702009               
0300 UTC TUE JUN 02 2009

...TEST...TEST...TEST...THIS IS A DRILL...                                            
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SUITER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       1      19      44      61      70
TROP DEPRESSION  X       X       7      35      25      21      17
TROPICAL STORM   5       5      56      27      13       9       7
HURRICANE       95      95      36      19      18       9       6
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       19      29      15       4       2       1       X
HUR CAT 2       14      32       5       3       3       1       1
HUR CAT 3       52      28      10       7       6       3       1
HUR CAT 4       10       6       6       4       5       4       3
HUR CAT 5        1       1       1       1       2       1       1
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND  110KT    90KT    60KT    35KT    25KT    20KT    20KT
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
ATLANTA GA     34  4   6(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TAMPA FL       34  4   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  8   4(12)   1(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  6   3( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ST MARKS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ST MARKS FL    50  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
APALACHICOLA   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
APALACHICOLA   64  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 16   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34 30  12(42)   2(44)   X(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
COLUMBUS GA    50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34 66  12(78)   2(80)   1(81)   X(81)   1(82)   X(82)
MONTGOMERY AL  50  5  17(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
MONTGOMERY AL  64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PENSACOLA FL   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PENSACOLA FL   64 52  22(74)   2(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 870W 64  7   1( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
MOBILE AL      34 88   8(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
MOBILE AL      50 38  38(76)   4(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
MOBILE AL      64  3  38(41)   8(49)   1(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 55  28(83)   3(86)   1(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)
GULFPORT MS    50  6  41(47)  13(60)   1(61)   1(62)   X(62)   1(63)
GULFPORT MS    64  1  15(16)  12(28)   2(30)   1(31)   1(32)   X(32)
 
BURAS LA       34 19  32(51)  10(61)   2(63)   X(63)   1(64)   X(64)
BURAS LA       50  2  12(14)  10(24)   4(28)   2(30)   1(31)   X(31)
BURAS LA       64  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  8  15(23)   8(31)   2(33)   2(35)   1(36)   X(36)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)   2(12)   X(12)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
JACKSON MS     34  5  38(43)  17(60)   5(65)   2(67)   1(68)   X(68)
JACKSON MS     50  X   8( 8)  10(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   1(20)
JACKSON MS     64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  9  36(45)  16(61)   3(64)   1(65)   1(66)   X(66)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  1  10(11)  11(22)   5(27)   3(30)   1(31)   X(31)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  3   5( 8)   8(16)   5(21)   6(27)   3(30)   1(31)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   5(11)   2(13)   X(13)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  4  23(27)  19(46)   6(52)   3(55)   2(57)   X(57)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   4( 4)  10(14)   4(18)   5(23)   1(24)   X(24)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  3  10(13)  15(28)   6(34)   7(41)   2(43)   1(44)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   7(15)   1(16)   X(16)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   9(21)   4(25)   1(26)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)   1(14)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)   6(18)   2(20)   1(21)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)  10(22)   4(26)   1(27)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   1(11)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)  10(17)   4(21)   2(23)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   1(11)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)  10(14)   5(19)   1(20)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)
HOUSTON TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
AUSTIN TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)   5(18)   2(20)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)
FREEPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   5(17)   2(19)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   1(11)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)   1(14)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)
PORT O CONNOR  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   3(14)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
 
LA PESCO MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN
